Hey Elite Traders,
At last, you got your most valuable time to invest in
our BlogSpot. Let’s get immersed in a technical analysis of the stock market from
this blog series “OPTIMISTIC STOCK SELECTION STRATEGY” onwards. This is our
first and foremost post of this series.
In this first part of this series, we will take a
closer look towards corrections and indexes in the market so that we can find
pivotal stocks in the depreciation stage of the economy. To understand our
strategy, in brief, these terminologies should be taken into consideration is
necessary
CORRECTION:
A correction is a fall of 10% or substantial in the price of a security, asset,
or a financial market. Corrections can last for the short-run and also for the long run the timespan in the market. While the decline in the short term, a correction is up to
snuff, adjustment of overvalued assets can do and creates buying
opportunities.
INDEX:
Market indexes impart a wide characteristic portfolio of investment holdings.
Methods for computation of individual indexes assorted but more or less all
computations are rooted in weighted average mathematics. Indexes are used as a touchstone to indicate the movement and performance of market segments.
Let’s dive into the central framework of our post
with these terminologies as guiding tools. When there is a large correction in the market for instance if it’s above 30% at that time which stocks should be
bought or successful stocks that we are going to see in today’s post
In INDIA, NIFTY50 & SENSEX are two crucial indexes.
When there is a fall in this index at that time there other indexes are affected
with high or low impact on them. At this time we are going to consider NIFTY50
as a predominant index and we will work on it in according to the following steps:-
Calculation of correction in NIFTY50
This correction is going to be based on the
percentage of this index. This can be calculated through that Quarter in which
there is correction and it is after the completion of the last candle in that
specific quarter only. To find out how much correction is given by NIFTY50 we
have to find all-time high in its index and low in that concluded quarter which
is essential to know. Assuming this all-time high as “H” and low in the quarter as
“L” in the above context.
First and foremost we have to see how much
correction is given by NIFTY50 from “H” and calculate it present wise. Along
with it, we have to also see how much correction is given by other indexes from
“H” to “L” can be searched through data. The formula for calculation of
correction is given by CORRECTION (C) = (L - H)/H * 100 [Here ‘H’ & ‘L’ are
same as above denotations only]
The correction value of NIFTY50 which is the principal index should be compared with other indexes' correction values. Here
are some Indexes & their corrections:
Srno.
|
NSE INDICES
|
VALUES
|
%VALUES
|
1.
|
NIFTY 50
|
4597.45
|
36.99
|
2.
|
NIFTY 500
|
3691.8
|
36.28
|
3.
|
NIFTY 100
|
4580
|
36.51
|
4.
|
NIFTY BANK
|
13937.45
|
42.72
|
5.
|
NIFTY IT
|
5891.2
|
34.9
|
6.
|
NIFTY SERVICES SECTOR
|
6765
|
38.31
|
7.
|
NIFTY 200
|
2340.95
|
36.46
|
8.
|
NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES
|
5581.05
|
39.88
|
From data collection of correction values, we have
seen those indexes which have given less correction than NIFTY50 index and we
name these indexes as STRONG INDEXES. Also, we will search for stocks in these
indexes only. For instance, the NIFTY50 index has given 38% of correction and
the NIFTY IT index has given 30% of correction. Then we will compare NIFTY IT
stocks and their charts. We have to see how much other stocks have corrected
less than the NIFTY IT index.
After the selection of a strong index, we have to
speculate on the stocks. Then in the next quarterly period, we have to observe that
our previously selected stocks are making any kind of reversal patterns or not.
There are a variety of reversal patterns such as Island reversal, Head & Shoulders,
Wolf or ‘W’ pattern.
It would be fruitful to pursue further research
about 10 stocks of NIFTY IT index in order to select suitable stocks for buying
which would be discussed in our upcoming post till then take your time and
study this post in brief. Share your queries if you have or want to ask any
question-related to this post.
“THE
BEST IS YET TO COME”
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